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Oracle-Sun deal causes speculation, worry




April 22, 2009 — 
With Oracle poised to snap up troubled technology giant Sun Microsystems, many are now worried that the relatively calm seas of Java could be in for some rough waters.

Indeed, TIBCO founder and CEO Vivek Ranadivé opined in a posting picked up by multiple blogs that Oracle's acquisition of Sun could drive SAP away from the Java Community Process. Through the acquisitions of JD Edwards and PeopleSoft, Oracle owns business applications that compete with the SAP suite.

At the MySQL Users Conference in Santa Clara yesterday, a number of Sun employees on hand intimated, under conditions of anonymity, that they were expecting massive layoffs. And, for the most part, the users of MySQL expect this to be a good thing for the open-source database.

Robert Hodges, CTO of Continent, spends his days figuring out ways to improve clustering for MySQL and PostgreSQL. He was at the MySQL User Conference to give a talk on such matters, and he said that Oracle has already proved it can competently handle MySQL code, thanks to its acquisition of InnoDB, which he claims now rivals the built-in MySQL transaction engine as the most popular choice among open-source database users for driving activities.

“I actually think this is going to be good for MySQL customers," said Hodges. "The reason is that Oracle understands databases. They have not said anything explicitly about MySQL, but the fact that this announcement was timed for the morning this conference began says a lot."

Did Sun set MySQL?
Hodges stopped short of calling Sun's acquisition of MySQL a failure.

“It's somewhat premature to say that, but they didn't do a good job," he said. "There's been a complete fragmentation of the MySQL code line. There are multiple builds out there. It was something that was already beginning before the acquisition, but it accelerated during Sun's tenure.

“I think what will happen is Oracle will make some pretty major changes to the market. MySQL will focus on one thing. I will guess the enterprise features are gone. I think what they'll end up doing is focusing on Web and embedded. But I think it will be a good match.”

Hodges has been coding Java since it was created, but his day job doesn't use the language much, he said. Still, personally, he felt the future of Java may now be in question.

“The real question for me personally is what's going to happen to Java? Java is so entrenched, I don't think Oracle's going to be able to change that. In Sun's stewardship of Java, they had some missteps, but overall they did an incredible job. It brought huge benefits to the entire world. They were sort of benevolent dictators,” he said.

Theresa Lanowitz, principal analyst at Voke, wrote that the Oracle deal isn't being well received in the industry. “The purchase of Sun by Oracle for US$7.4 billion has far less industry buzz and excitement than the rumored acquisition of Sun by IBM,” she said.

Lanowitz continued: “Sun is not today, nor has it ever been a software company. Sun’s DNA is hardware-centric, and the company does not understand how to develop, productize and market compelling software. Oracle, as a steward of Sun’s software assets, is far less adept at creating a mass-market need for its software. Oracle tends to focus its software efforts and products on its own platform preservation. Under Oracle’s ownership, the academic assets on Sun’s product list, as well as those that may still be in the lab, have far less of a chance to succeed because of Oracle’s proprietary approach to protecting its platform.

"Oracle is not a company that creates software products to enrich the market. Oracle creates software products to enrich Oracle’s proprietary platform and to protect its flagship database revenue. With IBM, the market would likely have experienced an opportunity to benefit from Sun’s software assets. With an Oracle acquisition, Oracle itself will be the primary beneficiary."

Rod Johnson, creator of the Spring framework and founder of SpringSource, doesn't think that Oracle can crush Java, even if it wanted to.

“Both companies represent the history of enterprise Java and are far less important to the future,” he said. “Larry Ellison states that 'Java is the single most important software we've ever acquired.' Ellison is right about the importance of Java: Java is the world’s No. 1 programming language and the dominant choice of the enterprise. But the question is exactly what has Oracle acquired? There is no purpose to be served by Oracle trying to milk the Java language itself for profit. And, in any case, it's now open enough to make that impossible. And it is a long time since Sun controlled enterprise Java in a meaningful way.”

Johnson continued: “While the FAQ on the deal states that Oracle 'can now ensure continued innovation and investment in Java technology for the benefit of customers and the Java community,' in reality, innovation around the Java platform has long been driven by developers through open source, not mega vendors. Community innovation has transformed productivity and propelled enterprise Java out of the Stone Age of Sun-architected J2EE.”


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Comments

04/27/2009 07:04:36 PM EST

I agree, both IBM and SAP get some tough competion by that. However, SAP while a relatively active user of Eclipse technology has never been very productive in the JCP as far as I know it. And currently EC member (like SAP too btw ;-) I can only see them attend, usually vote, but only contribute little otherwise. They sure may be in some expert groups, but unlike other companies and groups like Sun, Oracle (before also BEA separately), Red Hat, Google or the Apache Foundation they don't normally stand out as Spec Leads or otherwise. TIBCO is a kind of vulture claiming to do big on Ajax, but unlike Oracle or others they never contributed any of it to a relevant standard body. I'd rather see Vivek Ranadivé's worries and blogs as clear indicator of jealosy and a "Why the Hell didn't they buy US for 1/3 or less of Sun's price" symptom. I remember a qualified list a little while ago, I think by a bank or industry analyst. And while banks may have failed in their predictions elsewhere, that contained a couple of companies sooner or later to be purchased. BEA was I think still high on that list, Sun too and yes, obviously TIBCO. Nortel I don't remember, but their Chapter 11 state makes them either go totally busted or finally get purchased by some vendor. IBM, Cisco, HP, even Oracle may find a few pennies left. After all they even recovered from the 10 Bio. BEA takeover to buy Sun for roughly 2/3 of it. Good Luck Vivek, if you survive it, one of those may buy parts of TIBCO, but the Portal will certainly get trashed soon (for good reasons ;-)

SwitzerlandWerner Keil


04/27/2009 08:28:00 PM EST

Remember when Microsoft bought FoxPro? JAVA and MySQL are toast.

United StatesSly Fox


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