FROM THE EDITORS



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January 1, 2007 —  (Page 1 of 2)
Here it is, 2007, and developers and their managers are discussing how to best implement AJAX, how to create a service-oriented architecture, and how to flip COBOL applications.

Yes, even as other, more modern development tools and techniques have moved from must-have to commodity, we’re still talking about what to do with our COBOL applications.

The same folks who warned us that Y2K would mark the end of the computer world as we know it also told us that as our Baby Boom-era COBOL developers move toward retirement, we’ll all be stuck with mainframe applications that can’t be maintained, updated or even understood by the new pack of developers who are more Web- and object-oriented in their education.

Well, you can all let out a sigh of relief, because while your aging COBOL developers might be going away, they aren’t leaving as quickly as we have been told they would, and efforts are afoot to keep the language alive and relevant, and understandable to the next generation.

That’s because software vendors such as IBM are providing educational tools regarding mainframe programming, fighting against mainframe modernization vendors who stoke the fires of a “legacy skills gap” that they claim is fast approaching.

Sellers of software that helps organizations move their data off the mainframe and into Java, .NET or Web architectures are quick to point out numbers that show COBOL applications will not be able to be maintained long into the future. But research shows that the predicted COBOL exodus that was to occur between 2020 and 2030 will now be stretched out from 2005 to 2035, according to Forrester analyst Phil Murphy.

Few would argue that COBOL is excellent at dealing with huge volumes of data in corporate and governmental data centers. While moving off green screens and into Web-based services architectures has proven to give organizations greater flexibility to react to business opportunities and changes in their markets, nothing in the “new” paradigms can replace the mainframe for sheer processing power.




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